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Scoreboard / IBM

IBM IBM

Issue No. 04 pick · July 17, 2026 · Updated July 24, 2026

Technology

Setup Snapshot

The Setup in One Card

How IBM moved and the catalyst behind the move, from its Issue No. 04 write-up. It is not on the current Scoreboard, so it carries no Friday Five Score this week.

Issue No. 04

Original Pick

Week of July 10 to July 16, 2026 Return

IBM-25.82%

Sector Trend

Improving+0.52%

Covered In

Issue No. 04 · July 17, 2026

Catalyst

Profit Warning

Preannounced a second quarter miss; worst single day drop in company history

Return measured from the Thursday, July 9 close to the Thursday, July 16 close, the week it appeared in Issue No. 04.

Why It Moved

The Story Behind the Move

IBM-25.82% in Week of July 10 to July 16, 2026

Catalyst

Preannounced a second quarter miss; worst single day drop in company history

Why It Mattered

A preannounced miss on the highest value software segment undercuts the growth thesis that justified IBM's valuation, forcing a sharp de-rating.

Risk Note

If the budget shift toward AI hardware is structural rather than a one quarter blip, it caps IBM's key growth engine, and the drop is off a preliminary warning with full results due July 22 that could move it again.

Reader Takeaway

A warning is not a finished quarter: the first plunge is rarely the whole story, and the full report days later can bring a second move in either direction.

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