Scoreboard / DE
Deere & Company DE
Week of August 27 to September 3, 2026 · Updated September 4, 2026
Setup Snapshot
The Setup in One Card
How DE scored, how it moved against the market, and the catalyst behind the move. A high score means the stock deserves research time, not that it is a buy.
Friday Five Score
Weekly Rank
05 of 5
Sector Trend
Laggingdown 2.4 percent
Actionability
Extended
Catalyst
Cycle TurnUpgraded to Outperform on August 31, with China buying 703,000 tons of soybeans and soybeans clearing 13 dollars
Returns are measured from the Thursday, August 27 close to the Thursday, September 3 close. Benchmarks: S&P 500 +0.2% and Nasdaq Composite +0.2% for the week. Benchmark figures are official index closes; sector figures use SPDR sector ETF closes because the official S&P sector index closes for this window were not yet published at press time.
Why It Moved
The Story Behind the Move
Catalyst
Baird upgraded Deere to Outperform on August 31, 2026, citing North American row crop demand. China bought a further 136,000 tons of United States soybeans ahead of the September 1 open, taking three business days of buying to 703,000 tons, and November 2026 soybeans traded above 13 dollars for the first time. Deere own August 20 release carried the statement that the company continues to believe 2026 will mark the bottom of the current agricultural equipment cycle. The stock rose 3.90 percent, 3.23 percent and 3.30 percent on the three sessions that followed.
Why It Mattered
It rose 11.52 percent in a week when industrials fell 2.37 percent, and the whole agricultural complex moved with it rather than Deere alone. Farm cash flow is the input to equipment demand, and this is the first week in a long time when the grain side moved in the farmer favour rather than against.
Risk Note
The proximate trigger was a broker upgrade, which is the weakest catalyst type this newsletter tracks. At 694.41 dollars against full year net income guidance of 4.75 to 5.00 billion on 270.7 million diluted shares, the stock trades at 38.6 times the midpoint of earnings the company itself calls a trough, and it closed at 98.4 percent of its 52 week high.
Reader Takeaway
Paying a high multiple on trough earnings is a bet on the recovery arriving on schedule. It is a coherent bet, but it is a bet on timing rather than on the business, and timing is the thing cycles are worst at.
Continue the Research
Put DE Back in Context
The stock page is one piece of the weekly research. Continue with the original issue, the full public ranking, or the method behind the analysis.
This page is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.